
Practice Materials for 'The Basics' 3
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A travel agent wishes to advise a client traveling to Seattle and
Phoenix. Both cities are served by Alaska and American West. The airlines reported
the flight on-time arrival data in this table. Alaska, however, claimed to have a better on-time arrival
record than American West in both cities. How can this be?
|
On Time
Flights |
Alaska
|
American
West
|
| On time
|
2062 |
5041 |
| Total |
2379 |
5517 |
On Time
|
86.6% |
91.4% |
Here is a table of on time performance for Phoenix and Seattle:
On time
Fights |
Alaska
|
American
West
|
|
On Time |
Total |
On Time |
Total |
| Phoenix
|
221 |
223 |
4840 |
5255 |
| Seattle |
1841 |
2146 |
201 |
262 |
a. Calculate the
on-time arrival rate for each airline in each city. Who has the better record?
(Stan )Radio: a. Can't tell b. Alaska c.
American West
Possible
answer
b. What feature of the on-time flight data caused these
results?
(Stan )Radio: a. the airline b. the arrival
city c. can't say
Possible
answer
c. What is the name for this situation?
(Stan )Radio: a. Independent Events b.
Simpson's Paradox c. Bias
Possible
answer
d. What is the lurking variable in this
example?
(Stan )Radio: a. month of year b. time of
day c. arrival city
Possible
answer
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