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Practice Materials for 'The Basics' 3

A travel agent wishes to advise a client traveling to Seattle and Phoenix. Both cities are served by Alaska and American West.  The airlines reported the flight on-time arrival data in this table.  Alaska, however, claimed to have a better on-time arrival record than American West in both cities.  How can this be?

On Time
Flights

Alaska

American
West

On time

2062

5041

Total

2379

5517

On Time

86.6%

91.4%

Here is a table of on time performance for Phoenix and Seattle:

On time
Fights

Alaska

American
West


On Time

Total

On Time

Total

Phoenix

221

223

4840

5255

Seattle

1841

2146

201

262

a.  Calculate the on-time arrival rate for each airline in each city.  Who has the better record?
(Stan )Radio: a. Can't tell b. Alaska c. American West

Possible answer

b. What feature of the on-time flight data caused these results?
(Stan )Radio: a. the airline b. the arrival city c. can't say

Possible answer

c. What is the name for this situation?
(Stan )Radio: a. Independent Events b. Simpson's Paradox c. Bias

Possible answer

d.  What is the lurking variable in this example?
(Stan )Radio: a. month of year b. time of day c. arrival city

Possible answer


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